American Financial Group Stock Analysis

AFG Stock  USD 129.68  3.50  2.77%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for American Financial Group extending back to March 17, 1980. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of American Financial stands at 129.68, as last reported on the 6th of February, with the highest price reaching 130.39 and the lowest price hitting 126.13 during the day.
IPO Date
6th of April 1983
200 Day MA
131.9941
50 Day MA
133.7086
Beta
0.687
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
American Financial holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.429. At this time, American Financial's Interest Debt Per Share is most likely to increase in the upcoming years. The American Financial's current Debt To Assets is estimated to increase to 0.07, while Short Term Debt is projected to decrease to 0.00. American Financial's financial risk is the risk to American Financial stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

American Financial's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. American Financial's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps American Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect American Financial's stakeholders.
For many companies, including American Financial, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for American Financial Group, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, American Financial's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
2.2444
Price Sales
1.3235
Shares Float
66.4 M
Wall Street Target Price
142.1667
Earnings Share
10.08
At this time, American Financial's Stock Based Compensation is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The American Financial's current Issuance Of Capital Stock is estimated to increase to about 23.4 M, while Common Stock Total Equity is projected to decrease to roughly 84.7 M. . At this time, American Financial's Price Fair Value is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years.
American Financial Group is fairly valued with Real Value of 126.3 and Target Price of 142.17. The main objective of American Financial stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what American Financial Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of American Financial's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The American Financial stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and American Financial's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Financial Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

American Stock Analysis Notes

About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of American Financial was presently reported as 56.71. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.78. American Financial recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.08. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2026. The firm had 3:2 split on the 18th of December 2006. American Financial Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides specialty property and casualty insurance products in the United States. American Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio. American Financial operates under InsuranceProperty Casualty classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 6600 people. For more info on American Financial Group please contact S Lindner at 513 579 2121 or go to https://www.afginc.com.

American Financial Investment Alerts

American Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
American Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 27th of January 2026 American Financial paid $ 0.88 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: American Financial Group targets 3-5 percent net written premium growth and 11 core EPS for 2026 while emphasizing disciplined underwriting

American Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact American Financial's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2001-11-02
2001-09-300.140.11-0.0321 
2000-02-16
1999-12-310.30.27-0.0310 
2003-10-29
2003-09-300.430.480.0511 
View All Earnings Estimates

American Financial Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

American Financial's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates American Financial's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of American Financial's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect American Financial's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

American Financial Thematic Classifications

In addition to having American Financial stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
ESG Investing Idea
ESG Investing
Companies that promote environmental, social, and governance factors during their day-to-day operations

American Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
912.1 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2025-06-30
895.6 K
Norges Bank2025-06-30
845.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
771.1 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-06-30
609.4 K
Fort Washington Investment Advisors Inc2025-06-30
607.7 K
Johnson Investment Counsel Inc2025-06-30
602.6 K
Btim Corp2025-06-30
580.6 K
Lsv Asset Management2025-06-30
538.1 K
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
7.7 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
7.6 M
Note, although American Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

American Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 10.82 B.

American Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.1 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.28 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.28 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.18  0.19 

Management Efficiency

American Financial has Return on Asset of 0.021 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.021 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1831 %, implying that it generated $0.1831 on every 100 dollars invested. American Financial's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well American Financial manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The American Financial's current Return On Equity is estimated to increase to 0.19, while Return On Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to 0.02. At this time, American Financial's Other Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The American Financial's current Total Current Assets is estimated to increase to about 13 B, while Return On Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to 0.02.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 47.91  26.99 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 42.46  24.66 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 10.38  10.49 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.32  2.43 
Enterprise Value Multiple 10.38  10.49 
Price Fair Value 2.32  2.43 
Enterprise Value7.7 B8.1 B
The strategic decisions made by American Financial management significantly impact its financial stability and market performance. Evaluating these factors helps determine whether the stock is a worthwhile investment.
Operating Margin
0.2833
Profit Margin
0.103
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0271
Beta
0.687
Return On Assets
0.021

Technical Drivers

As of the 6th of February, American Financial shows the mean deviation of 0.896, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0137. American Financial technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm American Financial downside deviation, treynor ratio, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the variance and potential upside to decide if American Financial is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 129.68 per share. Given that American Financial has jensen alpha of 0.0131, we suggest you to validate American Financial Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

American Financial Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was fourty-nine with a total number of output elements of twelve. The Moving Average is predictive technique used to analyze American Financial price data points by creating a series of averages of different subsets of American Financial entire price series.

American Financial Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific American Financial insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on American Financial's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases American Financial insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

American Financial Outstanding Bonds

American Financial issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. American Financial uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most American bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when American Financial Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

American Financial Predictive Daily Indicators

American Financial intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of American Financial stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

American Financial Corporate Filings

F5
5th of February 2026
The annual filing required by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) from company insiders or beneficial owners
ViewVerify
8K
4th of February 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
30th of January 2026
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
29th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
30th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
22nd of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
16th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
11th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

American Financial Forecast Models

American Financial's time-series forecasting models are one of many American Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary American Financial's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

American Financial Bond Ratings

American Financial Group financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much American Financial have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for American Financial's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
7
StrongView
Beneish M Score
(2.46)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

American Financial Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as American Financial, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
American Financial Group has 1.48 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.43, which is OK given its current industry classification. American Financial has a current ratio of 1.75, which is typical for the industry and considered as normal. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for American to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.

American Financial Total Assets Over Time

American Financial Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which American Financial uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

American Financial Debt Ratio

    
  6.57   
It seems as most of the American Financial's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the American Financial's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of American Financial, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

American Financial Corporate Bonds Issued

Most American bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when American Financial Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

American Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

1.17 Billion

At this time, American Financial's Short and Long Term Debt Total is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.

About American Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how American Financial prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling American shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as American Financial. By using and applying American Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying American entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.13  0.08 
Operating Profit Margin 0.14  0.13 
Net Profit Margin 0.10  0.06 
Gross Profit Margin 0.20  0.19 

Current American Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. American analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. American analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
142.17Buy6Odds
American Financial Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most American analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand American stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of American Financial, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to American conference calls.
American Analyst Advice Details

American Stock Analysis Indicators

American Financial Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how American Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading American Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying American Financial stock analysis, traders can identify American Financial position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.2 B
Shares Float66.4 M
200 Day M A131.9941
50 Day M A133.7086
Forward Price Earnings11.534
Investments95 M
Dividends Paid788 M
Interest Expense80 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding83.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities95 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.185
Free Cash Flow1.2 B
Forward Annual Dividend Rate3.52
Operating Income1.2 B
Market Capitalization Mln10.8 K
Depreciation81 M
TypeCommon Stock
Other Operating ExpensesB
E P S Estimate Current Quarter3.315
Home CategoryDomestic Primary
Income Before Tax1.1 B

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When running American Financial's price analysis, check to measure American Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Financial is operating at the current time. Most of American Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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